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ZXH951
project
ĦĦĦĦZXH951
is a Class I new drug (new chemical entity, NCE) currently under
joint development by Shanghai Zhongxi Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd,
Zhejiang Xianju Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. and SiniWest Holdings,
Inc. (USA) with self-owned intellectual property and product manufacturing
rights. This NCE is a novel progesterone receptor (PR) antagonist
and relevant patents have been filed in China, U.S.A., U.K. and
internationally (PCT).
ĦĦĦĦBased on
the pharmacological property of ZXH951, it can be used for the
treatment of hormone-dependent breast cancer, early pregnancy
termination and emergency contraception. According to the investigational
new drug (IND) application guidelines set forth by the SDA, systemic
studies have been carried out by the joint product development
group including chemistry, manufacturing, control (CMC), pharmacology
and toxicology.
ĦĦĦĦPharmaceutical
research confirmed the chemical structure of ZXH951, developed
synthetic routes and production processes, and established quality
control (QA/QC) methods. As shown by pharmacological studies,
ZXH951 has significant inhibitory effects on proliferation of
breast cancer cells which possess both progesterone and estrogen
receptors; suppresses the growth of hormone-dependent breast cancer
in animal models; has both preventive therapeutic properties;
can significantly inhibit growth of multiple drug-resistant tumor
cell lines and reverse the resistance; demonstrates negative effects
on tumor cell adhesion, mobilization and invasion; inhibit new
blood vessel formation, and blocks tumor metastasis in vivo. Meanwhile,
early pregnancy termination and anti-implantation (including mechanisms
of action) studies were performed in animals which indicate that
ZXH951 has a better efficacy than the control drug (RU486). Acute
and chronic toxicology experiments suggest that ZXH951 is safe
and has no teratogenic and mutagenic effects. General pharmacology
tests show ZXH951 to have no adverse effects on animal respiratory,
CNS and cardiovascular systems. Therefore, preclinical studies
on ZXH951 carried out in recent years have achieved the targeted
goals.
Clinical
indications
Newly
diagnosed hormone-dependent breast cancer patients and breast
cancer patients who developed drug-resistant during chemotherapy.
ĦĦĦĦBreast
cancer ranks number one in all female tumors. There are over 1.2
million new cases of breast cancer and 0.5 million deaths recorded
each year worldwide according to the WHO statistics. Around 8.2
million breast cancer patients currently live in the world. Estimated
conservatively, annual sales of anti-breast cancer drugs amount
at over US$12 billion. Assuming that ZXH951 can occupy 7% of international
breast cancer drug market, sales are expected to be US$84 million
(around RMB£¤700 million).
ĦĦĦĦIn China,
it is estimated that between 50,000 and 90,000 new cases of breast
cancer were diagnosed with 30,000 to 40,000 deaths recorded each
year. In the coastal big cities such as Shanghai, breast cancer
has become number one in all-female tumors. There are about 120,000
to 150,000 breast cancer patients who require treatment or clinical
monitoring each year. About two thirds of breast cancer patients
use hormone therapy and major drugs include tamoxifen, medroxy
progesterone acetate (MPA) and megesterol acetate("Megace"),
etc. The mechanisms of action are to block estrogen supply, but
clinical efficacies are not ideal (effective rate is 30%-50%).
The newly launched new drug, Femara, has a good effect on tamoxifen-resistant
patient. Sales reached US$500 million in the first quarter of
this year. The pharmacological mechanism of ZXH951 is novel and
is complementary to tamoxifen. Therefore, it is possible that
using the two drugs jointly may achieve additive effect and ZXH951's
market prospect is rather promising.
Early pregnancy termination and emergency contraception.
ĦĦĦĦAccording
to the WHO statistics, there are around 50 million cases of unwanted
pregnancy termination each year in the world, including at least
20 million cases in China. As estimated, the world market size
for this indication is around US$200 million (RMB£¤1.65 billion)
and the domestic market share would be around RMB£¤430 million
(based on RMB£¤25 per treatment). Projected conservatively, with
a market share of 30% and the revenue from ZXH951 sales will be
RMB£¤130 million when the market matures.
ĦĦĦĦFurthermore,
according to analysis on artificial abortion figures at present,
demand for emergency contraception will be 3-5 times higher. Therefore,
the worldwide cases for emergency contraception would be between
150 and 250 million, including 51-85 million cases in China. If
the ex-manufacturing price is RMB£¤9 per use, the domestic market
size would be between RMB£¤460 and 770 million. Projected conservatively,
with a market share of 30%, ZXH951's sales revenue will be RMB£¤140
to 230 million and the medium figure is RMB£¤190 million. Domestic
sales for these two indications are expected to be RMB£¤320 million.
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